Mexico Coffee Report: Production Up Slightly while Soluble Exports Surge

Mexico’s coffee production for the 2025/26 market year (October to September) is forecast at the equivalent of 3.9 million 60-kilogram bags, a modest increase over the previous year, according to the latest USDA estimates.

The growth is supported by strong arabica yields and government-backed planting initiatives, particularly in high-yielding states like Puebla and Veracruz. Production gains have also been driven by high international prices, allowing many producers to invest in farm maintenance and renovation.

Coffee exports are projected to rise to 3.05 million bags, driven by continued growth in soluble coffee shipments and consistent demand from the United States, Mexico’s top export market. Exports of soluble coffee are expected to reach a record 1.65 million bags.

Domestic consumption is forecast at 3.15 million bags, supported by a growing urban cafe culture and government-led initiatives designed to promote domestic brands.

[Note: This is part of a series of DCN stories that will explore USDA FAS annual coffee reports. The information agency typically delivers more than a dozen country-level reports on the coffee sector, each coming from different authors and field offices.]

📉 Export Outlook

• Total coffee exports are forecast at 3.05 million bags, up from 2.92 million the previous year.

• Soluble coffee exports are projected to reach 1.65 million bags, surpassing green coffee exports.

• Green coffee is exported mainly from January to September, peaking in April and May.

• The United States remains the top buyer of green, roasted, and soluble Mexican coffee.

🌱 Production and Growing Conditions

• Total 2025/26 green coffee production is forecast at 3.9 million bags, including 3.54 million bags of arabica and 363,000 bags of robusta.

• Mexico’s coffee-harvested area is approximately 663,070 hectares, with a national average yield of 5.89 bags per hectare.

• Mexico’s top-producing states by volume are Chiapas (37%), Veracruz (24%), Puebla (22%), Oaxaca (8.4%) and Hidalgo (3.2%)

• Puebla leads in productivity, with average yields of 12.22 bags per hectare, more than double the national average.

• Weather volatility, plant diseases and limited input access continue to constrain yields across many regions.

☕ Domestic Consumption

• Forecast domestic consumption for 2025/26 is 3.15 million bags, up 1.6% from the prior year.

• Soluble coffee accounts for 57% of consumption, with roasted whole bean and ground coffee representing 43%.

• Growth supported by increasing urbanization, premium café offerings and younger consumers exploring specialty coffee.

🏷️ Imports and Stocks

• Coffee imports forecast at 2.39 million bags for 2025/26, up from 2.3 million the previous year.

• Robusta imports from Brazil are increasing to support domestic blending and processing.

• Ending stocks are forecast at 353,000 bags, up from 257,000 the previous year, as import volumes grow and inventories stabilize.

🏛️ Policy and Support Programs

• In December 2024, Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum announced the launch of Café Bienestar, a national instant coffee brand created to improve access in underserved areas via 24,000+ Bienestar stores.

• The government’s Cosechando Soberanía en Café program provides direct support of $365 per producer per year, benefiting 205,443 producers in 2024.

• The program also resulted in 53,542 tons of fertilizer distributed to 161,802 producers in 2024.

• Government and private sector initiatives aim to boost specialty production, youth training and agro-tourism in regions like Chiapas, Veracruz and Puebla.

📣 Events and Quality Promotion

• Mexico leads in Q-grader coffee certifications globally, reflecting ongoing quality improvement.

• Annual events like Expo Café México and Cup of Excellence promote domestic consumption and global recognition.

• Public-private campaigns like “Ask for a Mexican Coffee” are promoting regional coffee tourism and local cafe use.

For additional trade figures and background data, visit the full USDA Coffee Annual Report for Mexico (May 2025).